Forecasters: 30% chance of hurricane striking Gulf coast

SOUTH PADRE ISLAND — Meteorologists from across the country met today in South Padre Island to go over the 2016 seasonal forecast during the National Tropical Weather Conference.

“We put this together to bring broadcast meteorologists together to learn what os coming in the new hurricane season,” said Tim Smith, conference founders and KRGV meteorologist. “With the forecast of Dr. Koltzbach now at least we have an idea what to expect this season.”

Dr. Phil Koltzbach announced the initial hurricane predictions for 2016 going into the peak of hurricane season.

Koltzbach predicts an average season this year with 12 named storms, 5 hurricanes and two major hurricanes for 2016.

He said Texas has a one in three chance of a major hurricane making landfall along the coast.

Koltzbach said luck was the primary factor for the reason of not having any major hurricanes over the last few years.

Koltzbach is a research scientist in the department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.